As World Cup 2026 begins, the big question returns: who will lift the trophy at MetLife Stadium on 19 July? Betting markets and prediction models point to a tight race among the game's heavyweights.
Spain and France lead
The latest odds put Spain narrowly ahead of France, with both around a 16–17% implied chance. Spain rely on a gifted young generation, while France — 2018 winners and 2022 runners-up — boast arguably the deepest attacking squad. Many models rate the pair as virtual co-favourites.
England, Portugal and the South American giants
England are leading chasers, while Portugal have climbed the board ahead of Brazil and holders Argentina, each given roughly an 8% chance — proof the tournament is wide open.
The Golden Ball race
The award for the tournament's best player is just as open, with a host of elite forwards and playmakers in contention. Historically it goes to a player who carries his team deep into the knockouts, so the Golden Ball is closely tied to who reaches the final.
Could there be a surprise?
The World Cup has always produced shocks, and the new 48-team format with a Round of 32 could open the door to the unexpected. The favourites are clear on paper — but champions are crowned on the pitch. At Malaab Al-An we follow the title and Golden Ball races from the first whistle to the trophy lift.