As the 2026 World Cup begins, the race for the biggest prize ignites among a host of giants. By the odds and simulations, Spain top the list — but the path is crowded.
Spain: the favorites
Reigning European champions Spain are the top pick, crowned in about 16% of Opta's simulations, chasing a second world title 16 years after 2010. Teenager Lamine Yamal's fitness, however, is a question mark after a muscle injury.
France, Brazil, England: the chasing pack
- France: immense firepower, capable of a third straight final.
- England: under Thomas Tuchel, hoping to end 60 years of hurt.
- Brazil: record five titles, back strong under Carlo Ancelotti with Vinícius and Raphinha — the biggest favorite outside Europe.
Argentina: don't write off the holders
Holders Argentina, with Lionel Messi, remain serious contenders — arguably freer now that the pressure of a first title is gone.
Who is the favorite to win the 2026 World Cup?
Spain are the top pick, followed by France, England, Brazil and Argentina.
Follow all 2026 World Cup news and analysis on Malaab Al-An.